There are several reasons to take heart and dismiss the intimidating evidence. Incumbent systems:
- are like battleships that cannot change direction with either spontaneity and maneuverability -- they cannot zig zag, turn on a dime or reverse their position
- have so much on their minds they see any startup as a spec on the windshield -- not a real concern like the full agendas they have for their next three big meetings
- rely on historical data like a car that stays on the road by watching the rear view mirror where "a bend in the road is the end of their road" they did not see coming
- have been right about their predicting the appearance of more "white swans", they believe their own narrative fallacies and dismiss any "black swans" on the horizon
- offer job security to people who don't rock the boat or call attention to themselves -- in spite of the evidence that those people are clueless and incompetent
- make strategic decisions within the parameters of their industry structure and the crowded space of rivals playing the same game
- assume sustaining innovations are good enough to get by and justify passing up opportunities to reinvent themselves
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